Data-Driven Optimization of On-Site Generation and Grid Purchases Under Dynamic Tariff Structures

Introduction

Institutions and organizations with hybrid energy systems โ€” combining on-site generation with grid purchases โ€” face a growing challenge:
๐Ÿ’ฌ How can we manage dynamic electricity costs and carbon reduction goals without disrupting operations?

With wholesale markets becoming more volatile and tariff structures increasingly complex, the risks are no longer theoretical. Under the leadership of Yueqi (Emory) Tian, a Business Intelligence Engineer specializing in energy analytics, a new data-driven optimization approach was designed to transform how electricity is scheduled and consumed.


The Challenge: Complexity in Modern Electricity Pricing

Electricity costs today are shaped by multiple moving parts:

  • Energy charges that fluctuate with market prices

  • As-used demand charges that penalize short-term peaks

  • Capacity charges that create long-term obligations

Operating on-site generation in a static mode often leads to overspending. To control costs while meeting emissions goals, organizations must dynamically balance:

  • Market price signals from day-ahead scheduling

  • Layered utility tariff structures

  • Fuel input and carbon constraints

  • Reliability requirements for mission-critical operations


The Solution: A Transparent Optimization Engine

Tian led the development of a scalable optimization model that integrates:

  • Market intelligence โ€“ forecasting and analyzing day-ahead price signals

  • Tariff modeling โ€“ incorporating standby, demand, and capacity charges

  • Operational constraints โ€“ generation limits, gas supply, and COโ‚‚ allowances

The model produces daily production schedules that optimize when to generate and when to buy, minimizing total costs while maintaining system reliability.

Unlike opaque black-box systems, this engine is transparent and rules-based, enabling energy teams to interpret, trust, and adapt its recommendations.


Results: Quantifiable Impact

In just one seasonal cycle, the model demonstrated:

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Over $1 million in projected cost savings

  • ๐ŸŒฑ 17% reduction in carbon emissions

  • โšก Achieved entirely through smarter scheduling, with no disruptive process changes

This proves that significant savings and sustainability gains can be achieved without capital-intensive investments, relying instead on better use of data.


Why It Matters for the Industry

The framework offers value to a wide spectrum of organizations:

  • Universities, hospitals, and corporate campuses managing hybrid energy setups

  • Utilities developing distributed energy resource (DER) and demand response programs

  • Businesses with ESG commitments aiming to reduce costs while hitting carbon targets

The key lesson: data + tariffs + optimization = measurable impact.


Key Takeaways

  1. Tariff literacy is as critical as engineering efficiency

  2. Dynamic scheduling reveals hidden cost savings

  3. The approach is scalable and transferable across industries and regions


Conclusion

This initiative shows how embracing dynamic markets with data-driven optimization can deliver seven-figure savings and measurable environmental impact. It reframes energy management as not just an operational necessity, but a strategic advantage.

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