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Light at the End of the COVID-19 Tunnel

image credit: slocounty.ca.gov

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The Pfizer COVID-19 Vaccine Emergency Use Authorization was approved by the FDA today (Dec 11). It will start to be distributed on a priority basis in the next few days.

The questions most have are:

When will conditions start to return to normal?

When will conditions return to “pre-pandemic normal”?

Since the first is a vague question, I can provide some information based on the potential volume of vaccine that will be available over time. It will be assumed that all of the doses until mid-year will find ready takers.

Since the answer to the second will be another question, that is, when will we reach herd immunity? This depends on you, me and most other people getting vaccinated.

This paper will provide some information on both questions, and also information on a system that might help accelerate herd immunity.

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John Benson's picture
Thank John for the Post!
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Bob Meinetz's picture
Bob Meinetz on Dec 12, 2020

John, looks like an interesting paper. What does it have to do with energy?

Matt Chester's picture
Matt Chester on Dec 14, 2020

Appreciate you keeping the community apprised, John! I know many utility employees are eager to get safely back into the office, be more freely able to interact with customers, and simply want to see the recovery bring communities back to 'normal'

John Benson's picture
John Benson on Dec 14, 2020

Hi Bob & Matt:

Matt, thanks for the good comments.

Bob: This is my fourth paper on the Pandemic. I started this process for my own purposes, Quickly identified which three Warp Speed Pharmas I thought would produce a vaccine first and researched those and their technology (turns out I was right). I thought that electric utilities (et al) needed this information, so With Energy Central's agreement, I posted my first paper in March (Phase 3 COVID-19 Vaccine Trials), and then followed it up with two revisions in summer and fall as more information became available. If you like to see my rationale go through the link below to the last revision and read the Intro.

https://energycentral.com/c/um/phase-3-covid-19-vaccines-–-rev-b

This paper just finishes that process.

-John

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