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How much will the Brazilian energy crisis cost?

image credit: Rafael Herzberg
Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

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  • Jul 13, 2021
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How much will the Brazilian energy crisis cost?

Companies or institutions, face an important challenge: valuing the cost of the crisis.

For now, this is translated in the "red flag". It is an increase in power rates. It's a known cost!

What will the Government do if the situation becomes more acute? Little or nothing is known because the prevailing official signal is that it is mainly about dispatching (even more so) thermal power plants (way more expensive than the hydro ones).

The message is very clear: let each one do their simulations. And prepare in advance to avoid the daunting costs of a challenging rationing scenario.

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Matt Chester's picture
Matt Chester on Jul 13, 2021

Is this something businesses are planning head for as an inevitability? And what about households that don't really have such luxuries? 

Rafael Herzberg's picture
Rafael Herzberg on Jul 14, 2021

Talking to industrial, commercial and institutional energy users, it seems to me that the prevalent trend is a "wait and see" posture. Of course this is based on a very limited sample of the market.

My advice is always preparing alternatives so that if a critical situation is there, options are already "on the shelve" ready to be deployed.

The residential sector is totally "not interested" in this matter. No value from their prospective to worry about it. 

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