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Energy: Statistical and determined phenomena

Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

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  • Dec 19, 2021

Energy: Statistical and determined phenomena

For the general public, the electricity sector Brazilian leaders present the water crisis as a statistical phenomenon. They argue that 2021 was the "worst in over 90 years".

For those who are professionals in the field, know that fluctuations in rainfall in the country's basins need to be "mitigated" with adequate-sized reservoirs.

Brazil has for years no longer has reservoirs in the technical measure required. The result is seen in the average level of storage in the reservoirs, which has been systemically decreasing, year after year. Consumption increases but reservoirs do not!

The explanation is simple. We opted for run-of-river power plants. So... without reservoirs. And then the Brazilian solution was to invest in thermal, more expensive, and polluting plants, aggravating the situation of the Brazilian people who need to pay more for energy and the local industry that loses
 competitiveness, given that we are a country that produces items typically with low added value .

What good is our super meticulous regulation if what's really important is not contemplated?


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Thank Rafael for the Post!
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