- Aug 2, 2021 2:44 pm GMT
A wind turbine gearbox converts low-speed rotations received from blades into high-speed rotations required by generators for electricity production. When a major wind turbine component - like the gearbox - prematurely fails, O&M costs increase and production revenue is lost, both of which increase the cost of energy.
Engineers and operators are constantly searching for ways to avoid failures and the high costs associated with them, as a full gearbox replacement can cost as much as $350,000.
Operators have traditionally relied on physics-based models to detect failures. These models use equations to analyze gearbox material microstructure and properties for damage but are only about 60% accurate and cannot model and simulate a full gearbox system, its components, and their associated failure modes.
Combining machine learning with physics-based models for the wind turbines adds historic failure information and macro factors into the equation, such as wind speed, temperature, pressure, real-time power generation, vibration, etc. This brings a higher level of confidence in predicting the probability of gearbox damage and improves overall model accuracy.
EPRI has successfully developed a hybrid solution that has worked on gearboxes, main bearings, and even generators. The hybrid model is already 80% accurate and has supported operators in optimizing O&M actions, reducing high-cost repairs by identifying damage in its early stages, and providing 2-7 months lead time ahead of failures.
The model will improve budgeting, forecasting decisions, inventory management, resource planning, and component supplier selection. Operators can recognize damage early and extend the overall lifespan of a gearbox. If a damaged bearing within a gearbox is identified early, the repair may only cost $15,000-70,000 vs. a full replacement at $350,000. This hybrid AI model has the potential to provide significant benefits and efficiencies to wind turbine operators across the entire wind energy industry. Similar model methodologies could be applied to multiple electric power components across the global industry.
Learn more about the game-changing solutions generated by the convergence of AI and the electric power industry during EPRI’s AI and Electric Power Summit on September 28-29. Register here.
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