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What's our energy/emissions future?

Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs, Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

  • Member since 2003
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  • Sep 17, 2021

Developed countries are committed to reducing emissions.

They will most likely be successful in this endeavor as it is about continuing existing energy efficiency policies and replacing power plants operated by fossil fuels with renewable ones.

Emerging and underdeveloped have a much more difficult challenge. Maybe even impossible.

Their per ca-pita energy consumption is very low. Less than half of the developed ones. This means that those countries that manage to increase their GDP per ca-pita will have a significant increase in energy consumption, as statistics always show in terms of kWh/GDP.

Then there is another "headache" - the world is still not preparing for: how to meet this ADDITIONAL demand, REDUCING emissions at the NECESSARY SPEED.

We don't have an answer, yet. On the contrary, a lack of control in emerging and underdeveloped countries. We are facing a very serious problem, but there is still no awareness of the leaders and populations.

What needs to happen... so we actually face this situation?

PS1 More then 60% of the world population lives in the emerging and underdeveloped countries
PS2 The per ca-pita kWh consumption should at least double in these countries if they increase their GDPs
PS3 What about emissions if the world power consumption increases by 120%?


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Thank Rafael for the Post!
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