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NRRI - Resource Adequacy Modeling for a High Renewable Future

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  • Jun 9, 2022

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The resources being used to provide electricity and the ways in which that electricity is used are changing dramatically.  This is occurring at the same time as the country is experiencing extreme climate variability, with record highs and lows being set at an alarming rate.  All of these factors affect the adequacy of the resources required to maintain a reliable and resilient system.

Analytical computer models provide the foundation for assessing and determining the resource requirements to maintain resource adequacy.  With the changing nature of both the resources and the environment in which they operate, it is important to assess whether current modeling paradigms are sufficient to continue providing a firm foundation.  The answer presented by this paper is No. These models and the way in which they are used must also evolve with the changing resource mix and weather patterns. 

This paper is an important contribution to the dialogue about how the modeling of resource adequacy can better reflect the physical realities of the ongoing transformation of the electric system.



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