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Electric power (Brazil): the drought will pressure on prices?

image credit: Storage is low and declining in the south of the country
Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

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  • May 8, 2020
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Electric power (Brazil): the drought will pressure on prices?

The situation of the North and Northeast reservoirs (hydro power plants) is super comfortable.

The Southeast/Midwest is "so and so", remembering that it is the most important in the country in hydro storage capacity.

The South one is worrying.

And what does this mean for Brazil where 70% of the power generation matrix is hydro?

Most likely the South will "import" electricity from other regions of the country and even from neighboring countries as well. To meet its demand.

Although the pandemic has reduced electricity consumption throughout Brazil, the situation in the South represents a potential risk of putting pressure on the balance between supply,  demand and prices.

This issue will be worth considering when analyzing the energy market in Brazil if you need to close  power contracts for future delivery.

 

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