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Visualizing Haynesville Oil & Gas Production (Through January 2021)

Enno Peters's picture
CEO ShaleProfile

Background in AI, worked on developing Supply Chain Planning & Optimization solutions for Quintiq, setting up its business in China. Focus on company direction and the technical development...

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This article contains still images from the interactive dashboards available in the original blog post. To follow the instructions in this article, please use the interactive dashboards. Furthermore, they allow you to uncover other insights as well.

Visit ShaleProfile blog to explore the full interactive dashboard

This interactive presentation contains the latest gas (and a little oil) production data, from all 5,905 horizontal wells in the Haynesville that started producing from 2007, through January.

Your access to Member Features is limited.

Total production

Natural gas production set a new record in the Haynesville in January, at about 11.5 Bcf/d (after upcoming revisions).

Supply Projection dashboard

Among the 3 largest tight gas basins in the US (Haynesville, Marcellus, Utica), most rigs can now be found in this basin (46 out of 85 according to the Baker Hughes rig count). It is the only basin for which we see signifant growth at this level of drilling activity, as you can find in our Supply Projection dashboard:

Natural gas outlook in the 3 major US tight gas basins, based on the current rig count & productivity.

The total gas production in this basin could increase to 18 Bcf/d by the end of the decade, if nothing else changes (which of course it will), compared with 25 Bcf/d for the Marcellus and 6 Bcf/d for the Utica.

Well productivity

As we highlighted in our previous post on this basin, initial production rates are very high in the Haynesville, but due to steeper decline rates, ultimate recoveries may be quite similar as seen in the Marcellus. In this chart you can see the average production profiles in these 2 basins for wells that came online between 2016 & 2019:

Production profiles (average gas rate vs. cum.) for the Haynesville and the Marcellus. Horizontal gas wells from 2016-2019.

In the chart you can nicely see that all the selected Haynesville vintages outperformed those for the Marcellus, but that the declines accelerate later in life.

Top operators

In the final tab (“Top operators”), the leading 10 natural gas producers in this basin are displayed. Comstock is with 1.8 Bcf/d ahead of Aethon (1.4 Bcf/d) and Indigo (1.2 Bcf/d).

Its well productivity has also been consistently higher than those 2, as you can find in the following screenshot from the Productivity Over Time dashboard:

Well productivity over time for the 3 leading operators in the Haynesville.

The chart on the top right visualizes the average well performance of these 3 operators since 2015, as measured by the cumulative gas recovered in the first 18 months. Comstock was with 6.7 Bcf on average in 2019 outperforming Aethon Energy (5.3 Bcf) and Indigo (4.9 Bcf). However, as the chart below it shows, it’s laterals were also longer than Aethon’s.

Finally

Early next week we will have a post on Pennsylvania, which has just released February production data (available in our subscription services).

Production data is subject to revisions.

Sources

For this presentation, I used data gathered from the following sources:

  • The Louisiana Department of Natural Resources
  • Texas RRC. Production data is provided on lease level. Individual well production data is estimated from a range of data sources, including regular well tests, and pending lease reports.
  • FracFocus.org

Visit our blog to read the full post and use the interactive dashboards to gain more insight: bit.ly/3tGDoaB

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