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Visualizing Haynesville Oil & Gas Production (Through April 2021)

Enno Peters's picture
CEO ShaleProfile

Background in AI, worked on developing Supply Chain Planning & Optimization solutions for Quintiq, setting up its business in China. Focus on company direction and the technical development...

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This article contains still images from the interactive dashboards available in the original blog post. To follow the instructions in this article, please use the interactive dashboards. Furthermore, they allow you to uncover other insights as well.

Visit ShaleProfile blog to explore the full interactive dashboard

This interactive presentation contains the latest gas (and a little oil) production data, from all 6,051 horizontal wells in the Haynesville that started producing from 2007, through April.

Total production

Natural gas production in the Haynesville grew year-over-year by almost 0.8 Bcf/d in April (0.1 BCf/d m-o-m). In that month, 6.3 Bcf/d was produced by the just over 500 wells that were completed since the beginning of last year (indicated by the dark and light blue areas in the graph above).

Supply Projection dashboard

The rise in the horizontal rig count in this basin has leveled off and came in at 49 as of last week (according to the Baker Hughes rig count)

In our Supply Projection dashboard you can find our outlook based on this kind of drilling activity:

Natural gas outlook in the Haynesville based on the current rig count & productivity, by year of first production.

As is visible here, output could continue to rise to over 18 Bcf/d by the end of the decade if we assume that there are no further changes to the rig count and that well productivity also remains unchanged (it’s a simple scenario, more advanced scenarios can be simulated in the interactive version of this dashboard). It is the only major gas basin for which we see significant growth based on current conditions.

Well productivity

In the 3rd tab (“Well quality”), you can see that well results increased strongly between 2015 and 2017, but improvements have since slowed down, on average. Normalizing for lateral length, we find that well performance has not changed since 2017.

Wells completed in the past 2 years are so far heading towards an EUR not far from 10 Bcf of natural gas, on average, as you can find in the following graph (by extrapolating the curves):

Ultimate recovery profiles (gas rate vs. cum) for wells in the Haynesville, by vintage. Horizontal gas wells co pleted since 2014 only.
Top operators

In the final tab (“Top operators”), the leading 10 natural gas producers in this basin are displayed. Comstock and Aethon Energy are ahead of the others, with over 1.5 Bcf/d of operated production capacity. BP has fallen to the 9th position, after being in the lead for a short while 2 years earlier.

Finally

Next week we will have a post on all covered US states.

Production data is subject to revisions.

Sources

For this presentation, I used data gathered from the following sources:

  • The Louisiana Department of Natural Resources
  • Texas RRC. Production data is provided on lease level. Individual well production data is estimated from a range of data sources, including regular well tests, and pending lease reports.
  • FracFocus.org

Visit our blog to read the full post and use the interactive dashboards to gain more insight: https://bit.ly/3BTKqNC

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Twitter: @ShaleProfile

LinkedIn: ShaleProfile

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Enno Peters's picture
Thank Enno for the Post!
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