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Visualizing Eagle Ford Oil & Gas Production (Through June 2020)

This article contains still images from the interactive dashboards available in the original blog post. To follow the instructions in this article, please use the interactive dashboards. Furthermore, they allow you to uncover other insights as well.

Visit ShaleProfile blog to explore the full interactive dashboard

These interactive presentations contain the latest oil & gas production data from all 24,933 horizontal wells in the Eagle Ford region, that have started producing from 2008 onward, through June 2020.

Total production

After a 30% drop in May, Eagle Ford oil production recovered by almost 100 thousand bo/d to close to 1 million bo/d in June (after upcoming revisions).  Although natural gas production has held up better (toggle “Product” to gas), output for the month (~5.4 Bcf/d) was not far above the 2017 low.

Supply Projection dashboard

The outlook for the basin further worsened compared with last month, as 2 more horizontal rigs were dropped (to 10), according to the Baker Hughes rig count. In the hypothetical case that this level does not change, then our projection has output falling to below 0.7 million bo/d by the end of next year, as you can view in our Supply projection dashboard:

Tight oil outlook for the Eagle Ford at current drilling levels and productivity.

Top operators

The 5 largest operators in the basin are displayed in the final tab. Of these, ConocoPhillips responded the most drastically as it shut in over 70% of its capacity by June.

Advanced Insights

The ‘Advanced Insights’ presentation is displayed below:

This “Ultimate recovery” overview reveals the relationship between production rates and cumulative production. Wells are grouped and averaged by the year in which production started.

As you can see, already before the impact from covid-19, well productivity seemed to have hit a ceiling in 2017 (even not taking into account more intense completions).

This is confirmed by this screenshot from our ShaleProfile Analytics (Professional) service, in which I’ve selected only oil wells (a subscription only feature):

Well productivity in the Eagle Ford. Horizontal oil wells only.

Finally

July production data for over 90% of the wells in the Eagle Ford is already available in our subscription services.

Later this week we will have a post on gas production in Pennsylvania, which released July production data a few days ago (almost immediately afterwards available for our subscribers).

Production and completion data is subject to revisions, especially for the last few months.

Sources

For this presentation, I used data gathered from the following sources:

  • Texas RRC. Production data is provided on lease level. Individual well production data is estimated from a range of data sources, including regular well tests, and pending lease reports.
  • FracFocus.org

Visit our blog to read the full post and use the interactive dashboards to gain more insight: https://bit.ly/3iU8zK5

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Enno Peters's picture

Thank Enno for the Post!

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Discussions

Matt Chester's picture
Matt Chester on Sep 22, 2020 4:12 pm GMT

The 5 largest operators in the basin are displayed in the final tab. Of these, ConocoPhillips responded the most drastically as it shut in over 70% of its capacity by June.

What's the long-term damage to the bottomlines of these operators? Will they quickly recover when the rest of the economy does, or is this the time for some sort of pivot? 

Enno Peters's picture
Enno Peters on Sep 25, 2020 1:36 pm GMT

Hi Matt,

Important question, but also difficult to answer. I think that based on the current strip pricing, a tough time is still ahead for these operators, which is also reflected by the steep drop in drilling activity (not enough to sustain production).

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