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Power price trends (Brazil)
Power price trends (Brazil)
The marginal cost of operations as published by the Brazilian System Operator, is a powerful metric as it reflects the cost of dispatching the national integrated system. It is a short-term cost.
The graph shows the "fall" of this cost, which was at the beginning of the year, around R$ 300/MWh and, due to the pandemic, dived to zero. Then it started to rise with the gradual recovery of the economy, reaching R$ 100/MWh this week.
The price negotiated between buyers and sellers in the free power market for future delivery is R$ 110/MWh for the the next 3 months and R$ 150/MWh for 1 to 4 years.
The indicators show a strong upward trend. Whoever wants to take advantage of the current prices (for future delivery) that are still very inviting, it will make sense to be agile to capture the configured opportunity.
1 USD = R$ 5.4
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