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Correlations Between Generation and Load Are A Trap

James Kirby's picture
Retired Senior Manager At Ontario Power Generation Retired

Areas Of Expertise- Toxic contaminants, New Technology assessments, Computer Modeling, Interconnections - Reliability Assessments, Purchase and sales Forecasting, Reserve value of...

  • Member since 2020
  • 30 items added with 1,817 views
  • Sep 28, 2021

Renewable generation is influenced by the weather; loads are influenced by the weather; the amount of emergency assistance that others can provide is influenced by weather over the entire region. Options such as nuclear are independent of the weather. An excessive reliance on intermittent renewable generation is unwise. Additionally, outdoor generation can be curtailed due to the weather. Transmission lines are also impacted by being outdoors, unless they are buried. Reliability planners take note. Recent events are not a fluke.

The same climate change that renewables are designed to mitigate introduces another unknown into the picture. We are late to the party, and are experiencing, and will continue to experience, the effects of increasing climate change. We do not know how that will impact generation. Diversification of nonfossil generation types should be contemplated.

James Kirby's picture
Thank James for the Post!
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