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Upward trend in power prices

image credit: Rafael Herzberg

Upward trend in power prices

From the data published by the National System Operator, I came up with the table that shows the position of the reservoirs of our hydroelectric plants, which represent about 70% of the power production in Brazil.

What can be observed is that in this year 2021 the stored volume is at 40% of the total capacity of the reservoirs throughout the country. Significantly BELOW the same reference a year ago, which was 47%.

Of course, a flood can occur and the situation reversed. But, so far the prevailing trend is of stress in the reservoirs and the associated increase in power costs due to the more intense dispatch of the thermoelectric plants, which are way more expensive.

Recommendation: analyze the situation and create alternatives to face this possible scenario. I am available to assist you in this exploration!

1st line: capacity of each reservoir in relation to the national total
3rd and 4th lines: position of the reservoirs in March 20 and March 21
Right column: weighted average position of the reservoirs considering all regional reservoirs

Rafael Herzberg's picture
Thank Rafael for the Post!
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