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Long term power prices in Brazil

Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs, Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

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  • Jul 2, 2021

Long term power prices in Brazil

The ongoing water crisis is a phenomenon that should strongly affect energy prices in both the deregulated and regulated markets.

The prevailing expectation is that this situation will continue until the beginning of the rainy season (usually starts in October).

Then the reservoirs should be replenished, thus enabling the full dispatch of the hydroelectric plants, allowing the much more expensive thermal plants to be shut down.

In the mean time the long term prices are being "contaminated" with the situation of the crisis that is only expected for this year of 2021.

They have risen, since the beginning of this year, by about 50%.

This is a warning for companies and institutions to consider this scenario in their strategies.


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