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Grim and Sobering

image credit: Changing Alisa Singer, Used by IPCC for 6th Climate Report
Paul Hobcraft's picture
Innovation Knowledge Provider Agility Innovation

I work as a transition advocate for innovation, ecosystems, within IIoT, and the energy system as my points of focus. I relate content to context to give greater knowledge and build the...

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  • Aug 9, 2021
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Today, Monday 9th August saw the release of the 6th Climate assessment by the IPCC. It is grim, sobering reading.

Simply put, if we do not get Carbon Dioxide out of our energy mix as fast as we can we are, I quote:

- facing increases in the frequency and intensity of hot extremes, marine heatwaves, and heavy precipitation, agricultural and ecological droughts in some regions, and proportion of intense tropical cyclones, as well as reductions in Arctic sea ice, snow cover and permafrost"

- I go on in a quote "Continued global warming is projected to further intensify the global water cycle, including its variability, global monsoon precipitation and the severity of wet and dry events"

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- "increasing CO2 emissions, the ocean and land carbon sinks are projected to be less effective at slowing the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere"

- Many changes due to past and future greenhouse gas emissions are irreversible for centuries to millennia, especially changes in the ocean, ice sheets and global sea level.

My immediate reaction, can we honestly support extracting fossil fuels and Oil and Gas companies need to "front up" to what they need to do to make massive, affective and fast changes while they have some of the control still in their hands.

Can we continue to debate gradual shifts?. How can we recognize and mobilize real sustainable energy transitions based only on clesn energy?. Do we call this the Climate Emergency that it is?.

We are caught in a pandemic today, we need to learn some hard lessons from this but as the IPCC states it is "unequivocal that human influence has (and is) warming the atmosphere, ocean and land. 

 The scale is unprecedented these extremes such as heatwaves, heavy precipitation, droughts, and tropical cyclones, and, in particular, their attribution to human influence, will continue to strengthen until we ADDRESS climate change.

We really need to look for deep, deep reductions in carbon diaoxide and other greenhouse emissions in the coming years, perhaps not decades as we have prevoiusly felt

Is this the beginning of the RIP of our world, No but perhaps Humans in the form we know.

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Matt Chester's picture
Matt Chester on Aug 9, 2021

Thanks for sharing, Paul. I try not to let the doom and gloom with the climate crisis take over, but all I can really see from this is that the people who already knew and followed the science that went into this report agreeing with it and continuing to push this as a priority, but is there really anything in here that's going to move the needle for stakeholders who were previously resistant? The report is humbling, thorough, and dire-- but I already felt that way about the situation. Do you see something new coming from this latest report? 

Paul Hobcraft's picture
Paul Hobcraft on Aug 10, 2021

Scientists being scientists are usually on the vside of vcaution. How about this to chear you up I read.

In the last report, in 2013, this ranged from 1.5C to 4.5C, with no best estimate.

This time round, the range has narrowed and the authors opt for 3C as their most likely figure. That is the bad and sad news Matt!

Why is this important?

"We are now able to constrain that with a good degree of certainty and then we employ that to really make far more accurate predictions," said Prof Piers Forster from the University of Leeds, and an author on the report.

"So, that way, we know that net zero will really deliver."

So get to net zero Matt and hey no problem!

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