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Germany Sets a New Solar Storage Record

solar installer (photo Greens MPs)

Solar Installer (Photo: Greens MPs)

With the most photovoltaic capacity of any country in Europe, Germany has begun to store its excess solar power to enhance local usage. Last year, 41% of all new solar installations were equipped with backup batteries, a world record. Although home storage may only have a limited role to play in Germany due to a highly reliable grid, globally the German initiative could provide great benefits, for example in counterbalancing the predicted increase of air conditioning usage. Once again, Germany is piloting a renewable energy strategy that will ultimately benefit the rest of the world more than the Germans themselves.

Germany’s 1.5 million photovoltaic installations provide a generation capacity of 40 gigawatts (GW), four times the 10.8 GW base-load nuclear fleet that is being decommissioned in legislated stages between the end of 2017 and 2022. As solar generation only delivers 940 equivalent full-load hours of electricity per year, its high capacity currently covers 7.5% of German electricity consumption,compared to 14% for nuclear generation (in 2015). But solar power has a particular advantage over centralised nuclear generation, in that it needs no long-distance transmission to serve local markets. This is an important consideration in the southern states of Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg, where five of the country’s remaining eight nuclear reactors are being retired.

ElectricityGermany2015-Percentage[1]

Germany’s unflinching commitment to solar power has overcome impediments that once appeared insurmountable. A year before the Fukushima catastrophe of 2011, Germany had reconfirmed its nuclear phase-out policy, but with schedules prolonged into the 2030s. An extensive CO2 pipeline infrastructure was also planned for a new generation of coal and lignite power plants equipped with CCS (carbon capture and storage). Under these circumstances, solar energy appeared to be little more than a seasonal electricity source primarily suitable for offsetting the summertime cooling inefficiencies of thermal power stations. In contrast to the unfulfilled promises of CCS, however, solar generation has since become an overachiever. Germany’s 40 GW photovoltaic complement currently represents 16% of worldwide installed capacity.

On summer weekdays, solar irradiation covers up to 35% of German grid requirements, and nearly 50% on weekends.

Suedlink-Wikipedia2014[1]Even more total annual electricity (13.3% in 2015) is supplied to the grid by 41.7 GW of wind generation from turbines operating between 3,000 and 4,300 hours offshore and 1,600 to 2,800 hours on land. Southern Germany, however, has insufficient wind power resources. The necessary high-voltage interconnections between offshore wind farms in the north and inland distribution regions continue to be impeded by transmission line construction delays. By the end of 2015, only 614 km of the required 1,816 km distance had been realized. The essential SuedLink corridor from the North Sea to Bavaria may now be completed only in 2025, three years after the last nuclear reactor has been retired. Overall costs could rise to €10 billion due to requirements for underground cables along part of the route. Decentralised solar power installations are less affected by these impediments.

Wind and solar power are nevertheless confronted with increasing mutual redundancy. During intensely windy periods particularly on sunny days, total generation frequently exceeds demand. The surplus grid power is then delivered at below cost to industrial customers, dissipated in low-revenue waste heat applications, or exported at bargain prices to other countries.

After repeated complaints from EU member states over trans-border market disruptions, the European Commission may now divide Germany into two tariff zones to raise utility rates in the south. The added revenues would facilitate greater investments in local energy initiatives.

Reconfiguring the Renewable Energy Sources Act

The grid operator can decide to interrupt excessive renewable power from individual installations. In those cases, the producer is compensated with 95% of his lost feed-in revenues under Sections 12 to 15 of the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG). According to figures from the German Association for the Promotion of Solar Power (SFV), the number of corresponding grid interventions has increased significantly in recent years. As a result, balancing payments of €485 million were made by grid operators to renewable energy producers between 2009 and the end of September 2015, with rising amounts anticipated for the future. The incurred costs are invoiced to ratepayers. The disproportionate relationship shown in the chart between wind and solar power reflects the longer generation hours of wind farms particularly in the north and east that occasioned nine out of ten interventions in 2015. 

RenewableGenerationInterventionsSFV2009-2015-3rdQuarter[1]

In response to the problem of grid congestion, the German government has now announced restrictions on additional renewable capacities. Beginning in 2017, auctions will be required for all new installations exceeding 750 kW capacity. Ground-mounted solar bidding may not exceed a total of 600 MW each year, while the actual amounts could be lower. The expansion of onshore wind installations will be limited to 2.8GW annually. The auctions, which already began for solar farms in a 2015 pilot program, are conducted by the Federal Network Agency according to Section 55 of the EEG. For smaller installations, the existing EEG 2014 will still apply until a total solar capacity of 52 GW is attained. In earlier years, by contrast, guaranteed feed-in payments were made to installations regardless of number and capacity.

A recent study commissioned by the Federal Ministry for the Economy (BMWi) predicts more efficient adaptation to market conditions and the preclusion of excessive incentive payments as a result of this EEG Reform 2016. The German Renewable Energy Federation (BEE), on the other hand, maintains that the measures will “cut into the heart of the Energiewende”. However that may be, the current practice of providing guaranteed feed-in revenues for the limitless replication of standardised technologies has not fostered effective measures for preventing grid oversupplies.

A record-breaking solar milestone

But there is another way of addressing grid congestion: by increasing local storage for subsequent usage. Commercial wind turbines, which are most efficient at great heights in the megawatt range, are generally too large for battery backup systems. Solar cells, on the other hand, can be connected anywhere the sun shines with the same generation efficiency to match individual applications, be that a pocket calculator, a PV rooftop installation, or a solar farm.

Fully autonomous off-grid solar systems are expensive, but partial storage in grid-connected systems provides improved economy for both homeowners and power utilities. The Renewable Energy Storage Subsidy Program of the KfW Development Bank arranges low-interest federal loans and payback assistance covering up to 25% of the required investment outlays. KfW has determined that 41% of Germany’s new solar installations in 2015 included battery storage, compared with less than 14% the previous year. This level of adoption likely constitutes a world record for dedicated solar storage.

PVStorageSystemsGermany2015[1]

Since 2013, 43,000 applications for solar systems with battery storage have been approved – 19,328 last year alone. As shown on the map, many installations have already entered service. The heaviest concentration of registered locations in Bavaria and North Rhine-Westphalia reflects higher income levels and greater electricity consumption per household.

KfW requires that sufficient PV electricity be employed for on-site consumption and storage to prevent more than 50% of the output from reaching the transmission network. In this way, 1.7 to 2.5 times the usual solar capacity can be tolerated by the grid without overloading according to the most recent KfW program report.

SAIDI-GridInterruptions2009-2013[1]

The KfW requirement means that at least half of electricity usage becomes impervious to utility rate increases. According to a survey held by KfW, more than 80% of users of storage do it to save costs. Only 20% have installed rooftop solar systems with battery storage as a precaution against blackouts. Although in Germany with its high grid reliability, consumers perceive no particular need for improving system reliability, the reduction of costly grid interventions and transmission losses nevertheless improves the overall utilisation efficiency of photovoltaic systems.

Solar storage in the United States

The Germans are not alone in pursuing cost-effective solar implementation. In the United States, a number of recent studies have almost unanimously confirmed decisive customer benefits for more than a million net-metered rooftop solar systems.

On the basis of these findings, the Brookings Institution recommends “a performance-based utility rate-making model for the modern era” employing an analytical “value of solar” approach to “compensate rooftop solar customers based on the benefit that they provide to the grid”. The four advantages identified in the report may be effectively realized by solar power systems with integrated storage:

  1. avoiding the purchase of energy from other, polluting sources;
  2. avoiding the need to build additional power plant capacity to meet peak energy needs;
  3. providing energy for decades at fixed prices; and
  4. reducing wear and tear on the electric grid.

In contrast with European countries, the U.S. Congress has never enacted national feed-in legislation for renewable energies. Each state is instead left to devise its own policies, which are compiled at the Database of State Incentives for Renewables & Efficiency (DSIRE).

SolarStorageCalifornia1[1]Compared with the EU, higher domestic electricity consumption prevails in the United States due to expansive living spaces, low utility rates, and air conditioning installed by the end of the last decade in 100 million homes. At that time, recurrent excess demand had already made time-based rate programs essential for reducing $150 billion in annual power outage losses. These variable tariffs could now promote the implementation of solar storage systems, which diminish ratepayer grid demand when peak electricity is most expensive.

In California, the combination of rooftop solar power and battery storage is delivering significant cost savings in affordable housing projects. A coordinated investigation has been conducted in the three investor-owned utility service areas (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E), each with individual rate structures. In all cases, the study has shown that “the addition of storage technologies has the potential to nearly double stand-alone solar electricity savings at about a third of the cost of solar.”

Promising perspectives

For now, Germany’s solar storage initiative remains a modest venture. The achieved nationwide solar energy storage of slightly over 200 MWh would be adequate for supplying 22,000 households with electricity for just one day. Nevertheless, 600 to 700 additional applications for KfW funding are received each month. Pursuing this technological innovation can result in future export benefits. The solar industry in Asia has expanded, for instance, using production equipment originally developed for German manufacturers.

StorageCapacityUSA2012-2020E[1]The perspectives are potentially more promising for advanced battery technologies that may be concurrently required by industry and the transport sector. The accelerated growth of energy storage in the United States portends a future transition from fossil fuel combustion to electrical power drives.

One important benefit of stationary solar storage systems is that they could counterbalance rising global air conditioning demand. The Guardian has noted that the United States already “uses more electricity for cooling than Africa, population 1.1 billion, uses for everything.” The research of Michael Sivak at the University of Michigan indicates that eight countries may ultimately exceed American air conditioning electricity usage.

AirConditioning1971-2100[1]

Perfecting storage monitoring techniques in ongoing projects would pay inestimable dividends in this dimension. A resulting policy of “solar husbandry” could become an agent of enduring social change. “Whoever enables two stalks to grow where one previously grew,” Frederick II of Prussia once declared, “has done more for the people than a general who wins a battle.” On-site solar storage may now replicate that vision of bountiful multiplication.

Germany is finally storing its solar data

Since 2013, the Institute for Power Electronics and Electrical Drives (iSEA) at the RWTH Aachen University has been collecting solar storage performance data to evaluate the achievable benefits under actual usage conditions. 

This is a new approach. In the past, a remarkably nonchalant attitude prevailed among German lawmakers toward solar power deployment. The first 2004 version of the feed-in tariff legislation contained no provisions for compiling PV statistics. Beginning only in 2007, reporting the location and capacity of all new installations connected to the grid was mandated. The compounded effects on transmission became apparent in time when certain power lines serving wind turbines began overheating. 

The iSEA solar storage monitoring program was initiated in 2013 for continuously tracking system characteristics and usage. At the monitoring website www.speichermonitoring.de, each PV installation is registered with equipment data, location, and prevailing utility rates. 2,000 program participants provide monthly performance data. Electronic real-time monitoring is conducted at 20 installations.

by

Jeffrey H. Michel is an independent energy consultant and has published extensively about the German coal industry. Inquiries: Ing.-Büro für Energieforschung, Hamburg, jeffrey.michel@gmx.net.

See his author’s archive on Energy Post.

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Nathan Wilson's picture
Nathan Wilson on Jul 19, 2016 4:39 am GMT

Last year, 41% of all new solar installations were equipped with backup batteries…

As mentioned later in the article, these batteries are not for backup, but rather load shifting:

According to a survey held by KfW, more than 80% of users of storage do it to save costs. Only 20% have installed rooftop solar systems with battery storage as a precaution against blackouts.

So with less than 8% of German electricity provided by solar, they are hitting a wall that can only be exceeded using storage; this will be a very expensive path forward.

Consider that in Germany, solar has zero capacity value (i.e. it needs 100% backup from “flexible” generation, since grid demand peaks in the winter and multi-day cloudy periods mean that even several hours of storage will not eliminate the need for full backup). This means that the electricity which is displaced by solar energy will have a production cost of only about 3 ¢/kWh from their highly flexible coal fired plants (here coal’s variable cost, not its levelized cost, must be used, since the capital cost must be paid anyway to supply backup). Yet the homeowners who deploy the storage will displace 39 ¢/kWh retail electricity. So where does the other 36 ¢/kWh come from? This is a subsidy that comes from other ratepayers.

Commercial wind turbines, which are most efficient at great heights in the megawatt range, are generally too large for battery backup systems.

Battery technology is highly scalable from hand-held size to utility scale. Of course it works at the megaWatt scale of wind turbines; it will even have modest economy of scale that makes it cheaper per unit energy than for residential. What it lacks compared to residential is the complicated accounting trick of appearing to displace electricity at expensive residential prices. As described above, this apparent residential economy is a deception, as the excess cost simply gets shifted to other ratepayers. (Wind farms are challenging for batteries for another reason: fewer expected revenue generating cycles per year.)

Germany is piloting a renewable energy strategy that will ultimately benefit the rest of the world more than the Germans themselves.

Agreed; solar PV with batteries is much better suited to regions with a desert climate than Germany’s cool, cloudy climate; particularly for off-grid rural electrification. In Germany, PV simply helps to lock-in coal use; I hope Germans don’t mind living on top of an underground CO2 repository, because CC&S is the only way they are going to get CO2 emissions from their coal-rich grid under control.

Jesper Antonsson's picture
Jesper Antonsson on Jul 21, 2016 11:21 am GMT

“Germany’s unflinching commitment to solar power has overcome impediments that once appeared insurmountable.”

For three years, 2010 to 2012, Germany installed more than 7 GW solar each year. That corresponds roughly to 1.2% increased market share every year. Since, those installation numbers have dwindled due to deliberate German policy. Last year, they installed just over 1 GW, corresponding to 0.2% increased market share,

To put it into perspective, Germany has a 6% solar share, so 0.2% will only be roughly enough to keep status quo in the long term (given 30 years life). So I would argue that Germany has given up on solar, but are somewhat hesitant to admit it and therefore keeps throwing some small amount of money at it.

Going forward, German renewables policy relies almost solely on wind (according to what’s laid out in the law, EEG 2016). So before giving up on the energie-ewende entirely, they’ll repower their old wind and install some off-shore. Unfortunately, it will all barely suffice to replace their last ten nuclear reactors. The fossil power will remain indefinitely.

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