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4 concerns about energy prices (Brazil)

image credit: Rafael Herzberg
Rafael Herzberg's picture
Consultant energy affairs, Self employed

Rafael Herzberg- is an independent energy consultant, self-employed (since 2018) based in São Paulo, Brazil* Focus on C level, VPs and upper managers associated to energy related info, analysis...

  • Member since 2003
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  • Apr 19, 2021

4 concerns about energy prices (Brazil)

1. Free power prices fell between 2020 and 2021

Contrary to what would be expected given that there was an increase in consumption, reduction of hydro reservoirs and meteorologists estimating that 2021 will be much "drier".

2. Rising power tariffs
ANEEL has granted increases in regulated tariffs.

3. Low "official" spot forecast

Since the beginning of the year, it has been announced that the average spot for 2021 will be R$ 97/MWh. It does not match (and by far) the reality of the prices published by the clearinghouse.

4. Petrobrás prices (petrol products)

Between following the criterion of reflecting international prices and "interfering" to change what is reasonable to suppose?

Meanwhile, the confusion of signals prevails. An unwanted situation for those who aim to achieve and maintain a healthy and reliable system.

Or will the mess be able to put Brazil in a competitive environment?


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