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The Hydrogen Wars

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The Hydrogen Wars

If you listen to the powers that be in Brussels and Berlin, the ‘silver bullet’ in the fight against climate change is hydrogen. Proponents argue that there is lots of hydrogen out there, and if you use a fuel cell, electricity, which is the most useful form of energy we know, can be created in a very clean manner. That all said, we have been talking about the hydrogen economy for up to fifty years, and we have still not seen any mass usage of hydrogen and fuel cells except in niche market applications. This begs the question of whether the efforts of politicians in Brussels and Berlin, as well as the constellation of interested parties lobbying them, will finally push start the hydrogen economy, or will it remain a far-off dream?

Until recently, the main discussion has been about whether it makes sense to go ‘all-electric’ or to use ‘hydrogen’ as the storage mechanism and bridge between our present fossil fuel-based economy and a future renewable one. The major proponents of the hydrogen future are the oil & gas and chemical companies, which of course, makes sense, as the use of hydrogen would enable them to use much of their existing gas infrastructure, which, in a fully electric world, would be a thing of the past. Interestingly, a considerable amount of support to the hydrogen economy comes from NGOs and utilities. However, the latter should not be a surprise as a ‘green’ hydrogen-based economy, using renewables to create the hydrogen and a fuel cell to convert it back to electricity, would need a massive increase in new clean power generation capacity.

One other interesting question is where this massive amount of hydrogen should come from in case you want to use it extensively in sectors such as transport, heating & cooling and heavy industry. The renewable lobby groups have advocated that all the hydrogen should be produced in Europe using renewable energies such as wind and solar.  The skeptics have argued that Europe does not have the resources or the public acceptance, particularly around wind, to expand renewable installations and are arguing that an import approach, say from Northern Africa, makes more sense. This approach is supported in turn by some parts of industry in the hope of getting cheaper hydrogen while others are afraid of competitors who will locate close to where low-cost hydrogen is produced.

Further complicating the matter is the fact that there are multiple ways to create hydrogen. The most common method uses a heavily carbon-intensive process that converts natural gas into hydrogen and CO2 under a high-temperature heat process. This so-called grey gas already accounts for circa 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions and is no solution going forward. There are three alternatives: 

  1. The first possibility is ‘blue’ hydrogen, which uses the traditional steam reforming process with the resulting CO2 separated and stored in say an old gas well. The issue here is that nobody has ever stored CO2 on such a large scale. In addition, the costs of doing so currently seem very high, and we certainly would not like to be the ones insuring the risks of whether the CO2 will stay in the ground or not! As a result, it is opposed by think tanks and some renewable energy companies and related associations.
  2. Another possibility is ‘green’ hydrogen, which uses electricity and an electrolyser to separate hydrogen from water. This is also at present an expensive solution and again has not been done on any real large scale to date and requires a substantial build-out in renewable generation to make any sense but there does seem to be innovation here and economies of scale possibilities. ‘Green’ hydrogen is supported by some renewable and gas companies and opposed by other gas companies which prefer other hydrogen alternatives.
  3. The final possibility is ‘turquoise hydrogen’, which uses an innovative pyrolysis process to create hydrogen from natural gas with the only residue being a solid form of carbon. This is very interesting as the resulting carbon could be used in steelmaking, batteries, for new innovative materials such as graphene or indeed, if needed, be buried in the ground the way coal was millions of years ago. Nevertheless, this is early-stage, and nobody knows if it takes years or decades to scale up.

What this leaves us with is a highly complicated set of paths forward, not to mention the possibility and maybe even probability of substantial technology improvements in other areas such as batteries which would make the need for hydrogen defunct. This all means that the battle lines are now drawn. We have

  • Direct Electricity vs. Green Hydrogen
  • Domestically Produced Green Hydrogen vs. Imported Green Hydrogen
  • Green Hydrogen vs. Blue and Turquoise Hydrogen.

While physics and economics speak for direct electrical usage wherever it is possible, the impressive lobby strategy of the oil and gas industry with help from utilities, some renewable companies and think tanks seems to be working. Many governments are listening intently. However, this could all end up in failed strategies and stranded investments and valuable time wasted in the backdrop of the fight against climate change...

 

By Gerard Reid & Carsten Pfeiffer

 

 

Gerard Reid's picture

Thank Gerard for the Post!

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Bob Meinetz's picture
Bob Meinetz on May 26, 2020 3:03 pm GMT

"While physics and economics speak for direct electrical usage wherever it is possible, the impressive lobby strategy of the oil and gas industry with help from utilities, some renewable companies and think tanks seems to be working. Many governments are listening intently. However, this could all end up in failed strategies and stranded investments and valuable time wasted in the backdrop of the fight against climate change..."

Gerard, your conclusion cuts to the core of the competing interests at work in the push for "green" hydrogen.

In the 1990s, oil companies recognized gasoline would be a dead fuel - electric transportation was the way of the future - and set about dominating production of electricity, not with solar, not with wind or "green" hydrogen, but with their other fossil fuel: natural gas.

For anyone who believes oil companies are suddenly interested in protecting the environment:

Here’s a mind-blower: Royal Dutch Shell is the world’s second largest oil producer (by market value). Yet, a Shell official recently said his company wants to be “the largest electricity power company in the world in the early 2030s.” Within 15 years Shell wants to be the world’s #1 electricity producer! And, they plan to do it by using natural gas as the fuel to create all that electricity.

Maarten Wetselaar, Shell's Integrated Gas & New Energies Director:

"We believe we can be the largest electricity power company in the world in the early 2030s. With our brand, our global presence, and the adjacency to our gas business – we can get our hands on the cheapest gas anywhere – we should be able to win.”

Shell Aims To Be World’s Biggest Electric Producer, Using Natural Gas?

Gerard Reid's picture
Gerard Reid on May 27, 2020 4:03 am GMT

I think you have hit the nail on the head Bob!

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