This group brings together the best thinkers on energy and climate. Join us for smart, insightful posts and conversations about where the energy industry is and where it is going.

Post

Have we reached a point of no return with our climate?

image credit: World Weather Attributation
Gerard Reid's picture
Leader Alexa Capital

Gerard Reid is is focused on assisting people and organizations in the energy and mobility areas who are struggling to understand and come to terms with unpredictable and rapid change going on...

  • Member since 2019
  • 137 items added with 103,434 views
  • Jul 12, 2021 10:43 am GMT
  • 740 views

As a recovering statistician this graph from World Weather Attibution scares the living daylights out of me. 

What it shows is the highest annual temperatures over the last 70 years in North Western America noting that the blue line represents climate at the end of the 19th century and the red the climate as it is today. The highest observed average temperature over this period was ~35 °C (95 °F) and the highest possible temperature (top red line) according to the probability predictions (GEV) is  ~37 °C (99 °F). What we saw last month was 39.5 °C (purple line) which according to past data is statistically impossible even over a period of 10,000 years….What this likely means is that the climate has changed in a massive way that we don’t yet understand….and that is what scares me. 

Your access to Member Features is limited.

 

 

Gerard Reid's picture
Thank Gerard for the Post!
Energy Central contributors share their experience and insights for the benefit of other Members (like you). Please show them your appreciation by leaving a comment, 'liking' this post, or following this Member.
More posts from this member
Discussions
Spell checking: Press the CTRL or COMMAND key then click on the underlined misspelled word.

No discussions yet. Start a discussion below.

Get Published - Build a Following

The Energy Central Power Industry Network is based on one core idea - power industry professionals helping each other and advancing the industry by sharing and learning from each other.

If you have an experience or insight to share or have learned something from a conference or seminar, your peers and colleagues on Energy Central want to hear about it. It's also easy to share a link to an article you've liked or an industry resource that you think would be helpful.

                 Learn more about posting on Energy Central »