Cloudy Forecast for Renewable Future?
- Jan 27, 2020 1:21 am GMT
This item is part of the Special Issue - 2020-01 - Predictions & Trends, click here for more
“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future” are the famous words from Lawrence Peter Berra, better known under the moniker Yogi. While Yogi’s words tend to see-saw between oxymoronic and blaring glimpses of the obvious, there is a deeper truth in this statement. In order to come up with qualitative predictions or quantitative forecasts, we start with the facts as we know them today. We then attempt to detect patterns in them, and logically follow those patterns into the future to see where they lead. Over the last three centuries, mathematicians have used many different theories to develop forecasting techniques, all of which follow logical trains of thought – however flawed they may be.
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